Pharma Commercial Forecasting Expert — Launch Curves | $130-$210/hr Remote
Overview
This is a paid, part-time consulting role for a pharma commercial forecasting expert to support an AI evaluation project. You'll help build and assess rubrics that judge how well commercial drug forecasts are constructed, with a focus on launch curves and underlying assumptions. The work is fully remote for US-based professionals, with a pilot lasting about 10–20 hours and potential for recurring projects. It's a chance to shape how AI models evaluate drug development programs while earning a premium hourly rate.
What You'll Do4
- 1Develop and review evaluation rubrics that assess the commercial viability and forecasting quality of marketed drugs and development programs.
- 2Construct or critically evaluate launch curves, including uptake patterns, peak market share, and long-term trajectory.
- 3Assess whether forecast assumptions like comparator analogs, ramp-up rates, peak potential, and loss of exclusivity are realistic and well-supported.
- 4Apply your commercial forecasting expertise consistently across a defined set of drug launch scenarios in the pilot.
Requirements4
- 1Based in the US with deep experience in pharma commercial forecasting, analytics, or strategy.
- 2At least 5 years of hands-on work in pharmaceutical commercial forecasting or related roles, including sales-side experience.
- 3Strong familiarity with biotech and pharma drug development processes and commercialization stages.
- 4Proven ability to build or critique drug launch and uptake models, with an eye for defensible assumptions.
Who Should Apply
You're a seasoned pharma forecasting expert who gets excited about the mechanics behind launch curves—not just the numbers, but whether the assumptions actually hold up. You can quickly spot weak analogs, unrealistic ramp rates, or shaky peak share estimates. You're comfortable working independently on a short, focused engagement and have a knack for explaining complex commercial forecasts in plain terms.
Salary Insight
The role pays $130–$210 per hour, and the pilot is approximately 10–20 hours over 1–2 weeks. Strong performance may lead to recurring work.
Location
Required Skills
Application Tip
When applying, describe a specific launch curve you built or critiqued, including the key assumptions (e.g., analog selection, ramp timing, peak share) and how you validated them. Quantify your impact if possible.
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